Wednesday 23 January 2008

Lemma 3: science does not know everything

This is less of a lemma and more of a clarification. An exercise in filtering the mud out of the water.

There is a common argument when one attempts to apply science to certain subjects. It runs something like this: "Science does not know everything. Science does not address X. Therefore X is somehow 'outside' science."

One step at a time then ...

Science does not know everything.

This is true enough. But not necessarily in the way that it is typically intended.

It is true in the sense that the universe contains a lot of stuff and it is highly unlikely that the human race will ever have the resources or technology to observe and catalogue and model every single bit of it.

It is true in the sense that existing scientific models explicitly exclude the possibility of knowing 'everything'. On the macro scale, general relativity tells us that there are parts of the universe that are unobservable. We can never 'see' them. They can never have any effect on us. (That's a slightly heavyweight wiki article ... if anybody wants to volunteer to paraphrase it in layman's terms they are more than welcome). At the other extreme of scale, Heisenberg suggests that we can only know a limited amount about the position and momentum of a particle.

And we've already mentioned incompleteness theory.

(Of course, it is more than possible that the current models of relativity and quantum mechanics are wrong and that we can know more than they suggest. As I've already said, science is always wrong. That's why it works.)

But this statement is true in a more abstract and arguably much more important sense. It is true almost by definition. Science does not strictly know anything at all. It does not even claim to. It claims to provide us with useful models that help us advance in the Real World. A claim I defy anybody to refute (unless they're living naked under a bush and communing with The Internet via herbal telepathy).

A better statement would be "Science can model anything."

If there is something that we can observe and attempt to understand then the scientific method can address it. If something can be defined, then we can attempt to model it. If it can be observed, then we can compare our models with the observation. Essentially, if something exists, then it can be approached with the scientific method.

Have we accidentally addressed the third part of the argument here? Apologies for jumping the gun. Back to the second part.

Science does not address X.
This can be interpreted in two ways. The first and simplest is "there is no current scientific model relating to X". This may well be true. This does not mean, however, that a scientific model of X cannot be formed.

The second interpretation is broader and more nebulous and, I think, is what is most typically intended: "X contains some peculiar quality that differentiates it from the usual subjects of science".

This is the meaning used by people who make claims of supernatural abilities such as telepathy. It assumes that 'science' is a finite set of things: theories and test tubes and computers and boffins in laboratories. But, if you'll excuse me hammering the nail in with yet another nail, science is not a finite and complete explanation of everything. Science is a method.

If X contains some quality, however peculiar, then that quality can be expressed and modelled and compared with observation. That quality can be added to the list of things that the scientific method has addressed.

So ... nothing is a priori 'outside' of science. You can, if you wish, apply the scientific method to absolutely anything at all. The response to the original assertion is:

"Science can be applied to anything. If X exists, then science can be applied to it. Therefore nothing that exists is 'outside' science."

Or, expressed in an even more controversial direction:

"If the scientific model is somehow inapplicable to X, then X does not usefully exist."

1 comment:

Moon GT said...

The problem with applying the scientific method to God is that, unlike anything entirely "within" the universe such as a teapot or a ghost, how does one to a controlled experiment? In order to extract any useful scientific conclusions you need to be able to control all of the parameters of the experiment, or at least know what they are. You cannot put God in a box. He's omniscient and we're not, which makes things rather difficult if we want to be able to ascertain how He behaves in response to circumstances.

It brings to mind something from my youth, when my dad, wanting to prove to his friend something important about child development, offered me and my brother (when I was about ten and he was six) the choice of either a single coin, or a handful of coins of the same value. Thinking that I, being the eldest, would realise that the two options were of equal value, he concluded that I would choose the single coin on grounds of convenience, whereas only the younger child would think more coins were preferable. However, to his surprise and amazement I chose the pile of coins. I knew what he was trying to prove, you see, and I didn't like being put to the test in such a way.

The point here is, putting a single person to the test, even a child, is not nearly as simple as testing an inanimate object, much less so a god whose motives are influenced not only by the entire observable universe but the unobservable universe as well, and possibly more besides. Psychology is difficult enough with large sample groups, and they typically try to make sure the subjects think they are either being tested on something else or don't know they are being tested at all.